Kristan J. Wheaton, Department of Intelligence Studies, Mercyhurst College
Jennifer Lee, Department of Intelligence Studies, Mercyhurst College
Hemangini Deshmukh, Department of Mathematics, Mercyhurst College
Intelligence analysis, Intelligence studies/education, Methodology, Security studies
The Community must develop and integrate into regular use new toolsthat can assist analysts in filtering and correlating the vast quantities of information that threaten to overwhelm the analytic process…—Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United StatesRegarding Weapons of Mass Destruction (The WMD Report)1Unlike the other social sciences and, particularly, the physical sciences, where scientists get to choose the questions they wish to answer and experiments are carefully designed to confirm or negate hypotheses, intelligence analysis requires analysts to deal with thedemands of decision makers and estimate the intentions of foreign actors, criminals or business competitors in an environment filled with uncertainty and even deliberate
Wheaton, Kristan J.; Lee, Jennifer; and Deshmukh, Hemangini. “Teaching Bayesian Statistics To Intelligence Analysts: Lessons Learned.” Journal of Strategic Security 2, no. 1 (2009): 39-58.